Strona pracodawców oceniła projekt budżetu
Na posiedzeniu plenarnym Rady Dialogu Społecznego, które odbyło się 15 września 2016 r., strona pracodawców przedstawiła swoje stanowisko odnośnie projektu budżetu państwa na rok 2017. Oceniła projekt jako bardzo prosocjalny i mocno ryzykowny z punktu widzenia bariery 3 proc. PKB , której przekroczenie grozi powrotem procedury nadmiernego deficytu.
[if gte mso 9]><xml><o:OfficeDocumentSettings><o:AllowPNG /></o:OfficeDocumentSettings></xml><![endif]Zdaniem strony pracodawców budżet jest możliwy do wykonania przy spełnieniu się nieco zbyt optymistycznych założeń makroekonomicznych, braku nowych źródeł niepewności ekonomicznych i politycznych z otoczenia zewnętrznego, realizacji mocno optymistycznego przyrostu dochodów podatkowych wynikających z „uszczelnienia" systemu podatkowego. Wykonanie budżetu zależy też osiągnięcia nadwyżki budżetowej w sektorze samorządu terytorialnego bo sam deficyt budżetu centralnego przekracza 3 proc. PKB, a to oznacza cięcia lub opóźnienia w programach inwestycyjnym w regionach.
Zobacz: Rząd przyjął wstępny projekt budżetu na 2017 rok >>
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Budżet jest procykliczny, a nie antycykliczny, a więc ryzykowny średniookresowo. W obecnym okresie niezłej koniunktury międzynarodowej i wzrostu PKB w Polsce przekraczającego 3 proc. należało by pomniejszać deficyt. Jest też ryzykowny z powodu uzależnienia od ocen ratingowych. Utrata ratingu na poziomie co najmniej „A" od drugiej (po S&P), albo od obydwu pozostałych agencji może doprowadzić do radykalnego pogorszenia sytuacji i konieczności rewizji budżetu jeszcze przed lub w trakcie jego wykonania
Pracodawcy zauważają też, że budżet z wielkim i rosnącym deficytem dokłada kolejna cegiełkę do wzrostu państwowego długu publicznego. Na koniec 2017 dług ma osiągnąć ponad 1 bilion zł (1 021,6 mld zł), czyli 52,3 proc. PKB wg definicji polskiej i 54,9 proc. wg definicji UE.
